Category Archives: Uncategorized

The 2016 Election: Analyzing a Survey of 64k Americans.

Summary: Why did Clinton lose? This analysis of CCES data suggests a combination of anti-immigration & racially conservative Democrats defecting to Trump, an inability to maintain 2012 turnout levels among black voters, and tepid support from (younger) Bernie voters left … Continue reading

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The 2016 Election: A County-Level Analysis

What explains the 2016 presidential results at the county level? Running OLS and Spatial regressions on a dataset constructed from roughly 250 potential covariates, I find that support for Trump is strongly consistent with the burgeoning research on right-wing populism … Continue reading

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Ranked Choice Voting: A Story of Seven Historical Elections.

This post is broken into a introduction on ranked choice voting followed by seeking to answer how ranked choice voting could have changed past U.S. elections. Feel free to skip the introduction if you’re already familiar with the topic. Introduction … Continue reading

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Reading Roundup: Week 1

Politics: How many votes will Trump give up by not running a professional campaign?: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/08/25/how-many-votes-will-trump-give-up-by-not-running-a-professional-campaign-a-lot/ Policy: Syria‚Äôs Paradox: Why the War Only Ever Seems to Get Worse http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/27/world/middleeast/syria-civil-war-why-get-worse.html A new study finds forcing people to pay money to get out … Continue reading

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Reading Roundup: Week 0

I’ve decided to make a post sharing whatever interesting links on politics, policy, economics etc that I’ve found during the week. As this is the first week, I will likely change the format as I go along (e..g haven’t decided … Continue reading

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A Workable Economic Strategy

When presented with the choice of voting for Democratic candidates or staying home, working class, young and non-white Americans disproportionately choose the latter. Part of what drives this voting gap (detailed here) is the relatively difficulty of voting in the … Continue reading

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2016: Rethinking Favorability

Let’s start with a basic claim about the 2016 presidential election: Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have historically low favorability ratings for any presidential nominee since modern polling. If you’re unfamiliar here is a 538 article on the topic. … Continue reading

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